Gelbison vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
59.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
GEL
59%
23%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GEL
1 - 1
MAT
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 1
FRA
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GLA
1 - 1
GEL
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 1
GRO
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TAR
3 - 1
GLA
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
TAR
12%
21%
67%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 0
PUT
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SSE
0 - 0
TAR
13%
21%
66%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
TAR
2 - 1
BRI
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |