Gelbison vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PUT
0 - 0
GEL
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GEL
3 - 1
POT
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 0
GEL
72%
19%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FIA
3 - 1
GEL
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
GEL
3 - 1
GRO
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SSM
2 - 0
BIS
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PUT
0 - 1
SSM
39%
28%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SSM
2 - 3
CAV
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 1
SSM
77%
17%
6%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SSM
2 - 1
SSE
55%
22%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |