Gelbison vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SSE
2 - 1
GEL
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 1
SSM
56%
25%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PUT
0 - 0
GEL
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GEL
3 - 1
POT
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 0
GEL
72%
19%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAV
1 - 0
BIS
63%
20%
18%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAV
2 - 2
PUT
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SSE
3 - 1
CAV
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAV
1 - 0
TAR
32%
25%
44%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SSM
2 - 3
CAV
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |