Gelbison vs Savoia 1908 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
OLB
3 - 3
GEL
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
GEL
1 - 0
CSO
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
LOD
2 - 1
GEL
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
GEL
3 - 3
TRA
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PAG
1 - 1
GEL
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Savoia 1908
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 1
CYN
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 3
FCS
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
2 - 0
TCA
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 1
CSO
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PUT
0 - 0
FCS
29%
28%
44%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |