Gelbison vs Savoia 1908 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 0
USV
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 1
GEL
68%
18%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GEL
3 - 1
COM
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
GEL
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 1
CIT
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Savoia 1908
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
4 - 1
ACI
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
USV
2 - 0
FCS
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 1
NIS
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 1
ACP
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RAG
0 - 2
FCS
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |