Gelbison vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 2
GEL
62%
20%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 0
FBC
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ASF
1 - 1
GEL
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 0
FIA
14%
24%
61%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +4 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FCS
1 - 0
GEL
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 0
USB
19%
20%
62%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NAR
0 - 0
SAR
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
TAR
19%
22%
59%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FBC
2 - 1
SAR
63%
19%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 2
POR
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -4 |