Gelbison vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARZ
3 - 2
GEL
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GEL
3 - 2
GAL
15%
22%
63%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
POM
1 - 0
GEL
27%
27%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 1
MON
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SSS
2 - 0
GEL
25%
27%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 2
PUT
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAV
5 - 2
SAR
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 3
TAR
21%
24%
56%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 1
SAR
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAR
3 - 0
GRO
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |