Gelbison vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIG
1 - 0
GEL
43%
27%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 2
CAV
23%
25%
53%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
GEL
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 2
ROC
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
GEL
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
NOT
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
REG
2 - 1
REN
65%
22%
14%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
REN
1 - 2
AGR
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
REN
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
REN
0 - 0
SCO
68%
18%
13%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |