Gelbison vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GEL
3 - 1
TAR
17%
24%
60%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
GEL
59%
23%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GEL
1 - 1
MAT
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 1
FRA
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GLA
1 - 1
GEL
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
REA
4 - 0
GLA
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
REA
13%
22%
65%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
REA
1 - 0
PUT
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SSE
3 - 0
REA
14%
22%
64%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
REA
4 - 1
BRI
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |