Gelbison vs Ragusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NUO
1 - 2
GEL
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 0
MES
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LIC
1 - 0
GEL
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GEL
0 - 0
CAV
23%
26%
51%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 2
GEL
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Ragusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RAG
0 - 0
USV
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 1
RAG
63%
20%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RAG
2 - 1
COM
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COM
3 - 1
RAG
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RAG
0 - 1
CIT
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |