Gelbison vs Pomigliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
GEL
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GEL
1 - 0
SSS
49%
26%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 1
GEL
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GEL
1 - 3
BIS
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 2
GEL
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pomigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
POM
0 - 3
BIS
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PUT
3 - 1
POM
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
POM
0 - 0
CAV
23%
25%
53%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TAR
2 - 0
POM
75%
18%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
POM
1 - 1
SSM
56%
25%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |