Gelbison vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SOR
4 - 3
GEL
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 0
AEE
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FCF
1 - 0
GEL
47%
22%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
NAR
2 - 3
GEL
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 1
SAR
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PIC
2 - 0
AEE
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FBC
0 - 2
PIC
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PIC
3 - 0
NAR
49%
24%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 2
PIC
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FIA
2 - 0
PIC
57%
25%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |