Gelbison vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CSV
2 - 1
GEL
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 1
BIS
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MDC
1 - 0
GEL
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 0
POL
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
AGR
1 - 0
GEL
22%
25%
54%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIC
2 - 1
FBC
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CSV
1 - 0
PIC
38%
24%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 3
NAR
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PIC
2 - 1
MDC
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
PIC
4 - 0
AGR
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |