Gelbison vs Palmese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SCO
0 - 2
GEL
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GEL
1 - 1
GRA
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
NFR
6 - 0
GEL
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 2
USV
51%
26%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SIR
5 - 1
GEL
79%
15%
6%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
NOT
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
REG
4 - 3
PAL
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 3
AGR
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 1
PAL
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
GRA
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |