Gelbison vs Noto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
REG
2 - 1
GEL
68%
21%
11%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GEL
5 - 0
AGR
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 1
GEL
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GEL
3 - 0
SCO
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
GEL
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 2
REG
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 2
NOT
50%
26%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 1
PAL
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SCO
0 - 0
NOT
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 1
GRA
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |