Gelbison vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+137%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIC
3 - 4
GEL
51%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 1
CSV
56%
22%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
NFR
1 - 1
GEL
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BIS
1 - 0
GEL
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GEL
3 - 0
MDC
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NOC
0 - 0
FRA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 3
NOC
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NOC
2 - 1
RPO
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CSV
2 - 2
NOC
19%
20%
61%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
NOC
2 - 0
TUR
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |