Gelbison vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 2
GEL
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 1
PIC
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CSV
2 - 1
GEL
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 1
BIS
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MDC
1 - 0
GEL
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 1
FBC
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 0
CSV
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 2
NAR
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NAR
3 - 0
MDC
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 3
NAR
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |