Gelbison vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ACP
1 - 0
GEL
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 3
ASD
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 0
CCI
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ACI
2 - 1
GEL
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ASD
3 - 2
GEL
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MES
1 - 1
GEL
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CCI
1 - 0
MES
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MES
0 - 2
NOC
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
MES
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ACI
3 - 0
MES
15%
23%
62%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | -3 |