Gelbison vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 1
FRA
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GLA
1 - 1
GEL
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 1
GRO
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PUT
1 - 3
GEL
38%
26%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GEL
1 - 0
SSE
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
6 - 0
GLA
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GRO
0 - 1
MAT
22%
25%
52%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 1
PUT
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SSE
0 - 4
MAT
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAT
3 - 0
BRI
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |