Gelbison vs Ischia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 0
GEL
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GEL
0 - 2
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MAT
1 - 1
GEL
66%
21%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GEL
2 - 3
POM
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ASF
0 - 0
GEL
64%
20%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ISC
1 - 0
BRI
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 2
ISC
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ISC
1 - 1
BAC
58%
23%
20%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ISC
2 - 1
MAT
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FCT
1 - 0
ISC
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |