Gelbison vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
USB
2 - 0
GEL
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
GEL
0 - 0
AUD
16%
20%
65%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
POM
2 - 1
GEL
18%
23%
59%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GEL
1 - 4
TAR
19%
25%
56%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
PIC
2 - 1
GEL
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 1
FBC
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NAR
1 - 1
GRA
51%
26%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 1
FIA
20%
25%
56%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ASD
3 - 1
GRA
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 2
HYR
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |