Gelbison vs Giarre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
USC
0 - 4
GEL
19%
27%
54%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SMC
0 - 0
GEL
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
REN
1 - 2
GEL
21%
28%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
GEL
5 - 1
ASD
72%
19%
10%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
GEL
18%
26%
56%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Giarre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
GIA
1 - 1
POR
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
LUC
4 - 1
GIA
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 0
USC
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 2
SMC
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
GIA
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |