Gelbison vs Gallipoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
63%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
POM
1 - 0
GEL
27%
27%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 1
MON
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SSS
2 - 0
GEL
25%
27%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 1
BRI
24%
25%
52%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BIS
2 - 1
GEL
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 1
SSM
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PUT
1 - 2
GAL
12%
20%
69%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GAL
3 - 1
POT
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TAR
3 - 2
GAL
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GAL
0 - 0
FIA
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |