Gelbison vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 1
CAV
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SSE
2 - 1
GEL
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 1
SSM
56%
25%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PUT
0 - 0
GEL
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GEL
3 - 1
POT
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 2
SSM
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PUT
1 - 0
FRA
31%
27%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 3
POT
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 0
FRA
73%
19%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 2
FIA
19%
22%
59%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |