Gelbison vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
51.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
GEL
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
USV
20%
27%
54%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AEE
5 - 0
GEL
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 1
ROC
50%
25%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MES
5 - 0
GEL
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 2
ASD
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CCI
2 - 4
FCI
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 0
ACI
68%
18%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
FCI
19%
20%
60%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
RPO
3 - 0
FCI
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |