Gelbison vs Cynthia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 5
NAR
39%
28%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 2
GEL
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 1
PIC
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CSV
2 - 1
GEL
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 1
BIS
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cynthia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CYN
2 - 3
PIC
24%
23%
54%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CSV
1 - 2
CYN
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CYN
1 - 3
BIS
13%
21%
66%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MDC
3 - 0
CYN
47%
23%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CYN
4 - 2
POL
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |