Gelbison vs Herculaneum 1924 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
RPO
2 - 3
GEL
39%
26%
34%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GEL
2 - 0
FRA
44%
28%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SSE
0 - 0
GEL
36%
26%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GEL
2 - 1
SSM
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 0
GEL
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Herculaneum 1924
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
AVH
4 - 1
CSV
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
AVH
49%
23%
29%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
AVH
0 - 0
PIC
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BIS
2 - 1
AVH
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AVH
2 - 1
MDC
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |