Gelbison vs Audace Cerignola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
64.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
POM
2 - 1
GEL
18%
23%
59%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GEL
1 - 4
TAR
19%
25%
56%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
PIC
2 - 1
GEL
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
GEL
1 - 4
SOR
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AEE
0 - 1
GEL
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AUD
5 - 2
ASD
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FBC
1 - 0
AUD
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AUD
3 - 1
ASF
72%
17%
10%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
FIA
0 - 1
AUD
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AUD
2 - 0
FCS
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |