Gelbison vs Troina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
REN
1 - 2
GEL
31%
28%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 1
LUC
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SMC
0 - 1
GEL
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 3
GEL
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
ROT
1 - 0
GEL
34%
23%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 2
CIT
23%
27%
50%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ACI
3 - 0
ASD
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
ROT
45%
25%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 2
ASD
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 4
BIA
46%
24%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |