Gelbison vs Real Metapontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
REA
4 - 1
GEL
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TAR
1 - 0
GEL
72%
19%
9%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GEL
3 - 2
MON
30%
27%
44%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 1
GEL
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 0
GEL
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Real Metapontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ARM
2 - 0
GLA
27%
24%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GRO
3 - 2
ARM
38%
25%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
PUT
36%
26%
39%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SSE
2 - 1
ARM
34%
24%
43%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 0
BRI
22%
22%
57%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +2 |