Gela vs Turris Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
SSS
1 - 2
GEL
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
GEL
1 - 0
ASA
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
GEL
0 - 0
ASC
37%
29%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ASM
0 - 1
GEL
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
GEL
1 - 1
FCI
42%
28%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
USV
1 - 0
TUR
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
TUR
0 - 2
BEN
26%
27%
47%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
TUR
1 - 1
SSS
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
MON
3 - 0
TUR
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
TUR
1 - 1
ASC
31%
27%
42%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |