Gela vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
0 - 0
GEL
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GEL
0 - 1
SSM
64%
23%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ASM
2 - 2
GEL
50%
25%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GEL
1 - 2
SSC
58%
24%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
BRI
1 - 0
GEL
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SSB
2 - 1
VIC
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SSB
3 - 1
USV
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ASN
1 - 1
SSB
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SSB
2 - 1
FCC
40%
27%
32%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACI
1 - 2
SSB
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |