Gela vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 2
GEL
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GEL
2 - 0
REN
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NFR
5 - 2
GEL
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GEL
0 - 0
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
USC
1 - 3
GEL
16%
19%
65%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RAA
0 - 0
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RAA
2 - 2
PAL
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
RAA
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
RAA
2 - 3
GLA
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FCI
1 - 1
RAA
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |