Gela vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
PAL
61%
20%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
GEL
26%
21%
53%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 4
GEL
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
FCI
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
GEL
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CCI
2 - 2
MES
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 2
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FCI
3 - 0
MES
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MES
0 - 3
BAR
10%
23%
67%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
CIT
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |