Gela vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
15.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
JUS
1 - 1
GEL
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PRO
4 - 0
GEL
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GEL
0 - 0
ASA
61%
24%
15%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ACI
0 - 1
GEL
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GEL
3 - 1
VIG
74%
19%
8%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FCI
0 - 0
SSB
40%
27%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ASM
2 - 1
FCI
45%
27%
28%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FCI
2 - 1
MON
40%
28%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PES
1 - 0
FCI
55%
25%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FCI
1 - 1
SSS
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |