Gela vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SSB
2 - 1
GEL
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
GEL
0 - 0
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
USV
1 - 2
GEL
30%
28%
43%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ASA
0 - 1
GEL
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 1
ACI
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
FCI
1 - 1
ACI
57%
24%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ASA
0 - 0
FCI
51%
26%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FCI
0 - 0
VAL
47%
26%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FCI
1 - 1
ASM
54%
26%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MON
4 - 1
FCI
56%
24%
20%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |