Gela vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
FCC
1 - 1
GEL
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ASA
2 - 1
GEL
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
GEL
1 - 0
BEN
29%
29%
41%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
GEL
2 - 0
USV
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
REA
2 - 1
GEL
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
FCI
3 - 0
REA
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FCI
4 - 0
TUR
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ASM
2 - 1
FCI
45%
27%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
SSS
0 - 1
FCI
31%
27%
43%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
FCI
1 - 1
USV
41%
26%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |