Gela vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
55.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 0
COS
54%
26%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ASM
0 - 2
GEL
27%
28%
45%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
GEL
3 - 0
SSM
43%
29%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
COS
0 - 1
GEL
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SSS
0 - 1
GEL
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CRO
3 - 0
TER
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
FOL
0 - 2
CRO
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
CRO
3 - 2
FCC
72%
18%
9%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
CRO
1 - 0
POT
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
JUS
1 - 0
CRO
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |