Gela vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 0
GEL
33%
23%
45%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
LOC
1 - 3
GEL
30%
22%
49%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 1
USC
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 1
GEL
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 2
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CIT
0 - 1
PAL
51%
22%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
USC
3 - 0
CIT
46%
24%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CIT
2 - 1
FCI
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
LOC
1 - 2
CIT
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CIT
1 - 0
TUR
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |