Gela vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
GEL
2 - 0
USV
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
REA
2 - 1
GEL
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
GEL
2 - 0
VAL
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ASN
2 - 2
GEL
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
GEL
3 - 3
FCC
40%
28%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 1
MON
50%
28%
23%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ASM
1 - 1
BEN
28%
29%
44%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 0
FCI
56%
27%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
PES
1 - 0
BEN
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
BEN
3 - 1
REA
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |