Gela vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SSM
1 - 2
GEL
29%
28%
43%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GEL
2 - 0
SSS
65%
21%
13%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SSC
0 - 0
GEL
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
GEL
1 - 4
FCI
63%
23%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SSB
2 - 1
GEL
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
ASM
3 - 0
SSM
53%
26%
22%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PES
1 - 1
ASM
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
VIG
0 - 1
ASM
38%
28%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ASM
2 - 1
MON
31%
27%
43%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
USV
1 - 2
ASM
54%
25%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |