Gefle vs Vasalunds IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
15º
10º
29
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 54 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 35 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 18% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 67% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ASS
3 - 0
GEF
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 0
THO
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HTF
2 - 0
GEF
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
GEF
0 - 1
SIR
11%
17%
72%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
GEF
0 - 1
SAN
25%
21%
54%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vasalunds IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
VAS
3 - 1
IFS
57%
21%
22%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
HAN
5 - 1
VAS
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
VAS
2 - 0
KAL
61%
22%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ASS
1 - 1
VAS
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
STO
2 - 2
VAS
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |