Gefle vs Umeå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ASS
0 - 0
GEF
45%
25%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
GEF
1 - 0
IKB
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
ENK
0 - 1
GEF
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
GEF
3 - 0
FRO
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
OIF
1 - 2
GEF
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
UME
3 - 2
MAL
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
MOT
4 - 4
UME
40%
26%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ASS
4 - 0
UME
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
UME
1 - 3
IKB
38%
26%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
UME
3 - 2
FRO
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |