Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 8-1
Gefle vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MFF
3 - 1
GEF
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 3
GEF
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
GEF
1 - 1
DJU
38%
28%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
ELF
0 - 0
GEF
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
GEF
0 - 0
OIF
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 1
TAM
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 3
GEF
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 0
LEV
18%
23%
60%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
FLO
1 - 0
TRA
78%
15%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
JKR
1 - 11
TRA
10%
16%
74%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |