Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 4-1
Gefle vs NSÍ Runavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
NSI
0 - 2
GEF
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
LJU
0 - 1
GEF
35%
27%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
ORG
0 - 1
GEF
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
DJU
1 - 1
GEF
42%
28%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
GEF
0 - 0
GÖT
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
NSÍ Runavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
NSI
0 - 2
GEF
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
ARG
0 - 0
NSI
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
NSI
2 - 0
HBT
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
VIK
2 - 3
NSI
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
NSI
2 - 1
SUD
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |