Gefle vs Falkenbergs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
JON
1 - 0
GEF
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
GEF
0 - 1
ORG
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
HEL
3 - 0
GEF
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
GEF
0 - 2
IKB
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
KAR
1 - 0
GEF
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 2
LAN
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
OIF
2 - 3
FAL
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FAL
4 - 1
DEG
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
SKO
1 - 4
FAL
6%
14%
81%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 0
HAL
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |