Gefle vs Falkenbergs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
VAS
3 - 1
GEF
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
GEF
1 - 1
BKF
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
NOR
2 - 3
GEF
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
GEF
0 - 0
ASS
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
VAS
2 - 3
GEF
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
FAL
2 - 3
BKF
44%
24%
33%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
NOR
2 - 0
FAL
88%
10%
3%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
FAL
1 - 2
FRO
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
TRE
2 - 0
FAL
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
FAL
7 - 2
STE
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |