Gefle vs Assyriska FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
15º
10º
20
8º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 54 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 35 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
ENK
2 - 0
GEF
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 1
FCA
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
GEF
0 - 1
STO
27%
25%
49%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
HAN
1 - 1
GEF
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
KAL
0 - 1
GEF
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Assyriska FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
IFS
3 - 2
ASS
39%
23%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
ASS
0 - 3
ENK
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
THO
1 - 2
ASS
42%
23%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ASS
2 - 1
ASS
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
ASS
2 - 1
AFC
32%
25%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |