Gefle vs AFC Eskilstuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
15º
10º
17
3º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 54 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 35 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 23.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 2
IFS
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SOL
0 - 1
GEF
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 2
VAS
38%
25%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ASS
3 - 0
GEF
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 0
THO
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Eskilstuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 2
SOL
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
THO
1 - 1
AFC
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 1
ASS
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
HTF
1 - 1
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
AFC
2 - 1
ENK
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |