Gefest Qaraghandi vs FC Astana-1964 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefest Qaraghandi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 3
GEF
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
EKI
3 - 0
GEF
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
GEF
0 - 3
CEA
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
GEF
0 - 3
CSK
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
KYZ
3 - 0
GEF
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Astana-1964
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
3 - 1
LAS
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 0
KYR
50%
24%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
ZST
0 - 4
FCA
81%
14%
6%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
AKB
0 - 0
FCA
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
3 - 1
AKZ
31%
25%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |